“If Russia Wins: A Scenario” by Carlo Masala, translated by Olena Ebel and Ruth Ahmedzai Kemp

If Russia Wins: A Scenario by political scientist and expert for international security policy, Carlo Masala has just been released in English. It has been translated from German by Olena Ebel and Ruth Ahmedzai Kemp. It is fiction and has been a resounding success in Europe. In Germany, for example, it has been on the bestseller list for weeks.

In If Russia Wins, military expert and Professor of International Relations at the University of Munich, Carlo Masala explores these questions and underlines what is at stake in Ukraine in the starkest possible terms.

March 2028: Russian troops capture the small Estonian town of Narva and the island of Hiiumaa in the Baltic Sea. After victory in Ukraine, Putin’s long-mooted encroachment into the Baltic states has begun. Europe’s slow rearmament and its compromised military and intelligence capabilities is now clear for its enemies to exploit. Does Article 5 of NATO apply? What will the alliance decide? Will they risk nuclear war?

Carlo Masala is Professor for International Politics at the Bundeswehr University Munich. He previously worked as Deputy Director in the research department at the NATO Defence College in Rome. Since January 2024, Masala has been Director of the Centre for Intelligence and Security Studies at the University of the Federal Armed Forces in Munich. He received the Lichtenberg Medal in Goldfrom the Lower Saxony Academy of Sciences in Göttingen in 2023 for his academic work and science communication. If Russia Wins was an immediate #1 bestseller upon publication in Germany, and has since become a bestseller in the Netherlands.

27 Aug 2025

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